St. Joseph's
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #99
New Haven Semi-State Rank #24
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #8
Riley Sectional Rank #8
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 5.9%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Northern Indiana Conference Stomp South Bend City Meet Indiana All-Catholic Championship New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/20 9/1 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 785 704 762 731 710 826 811 808 812
Team Adjusted Rating 704 762 731 710 826 807 808 812
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Northern Indiana Conference Stomp South Bend City Meet Indiana All-Catholic Championship New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
433  Saul Garcia 11 17:31 17:22 17:46 17:07 17:21 17:38 17:30 17:37 17:35
493  Andy Powers 12 17:36 17:32 17:37 17:36 17:28 17:36 17:47 17:56 17:18 17:35
601  Bill Powers 10 17:46 17:28 17:41 17:25 17:32 17:51 17:52 17:53 18:02
1,143  Joe Deahl 10 18:28 17:53 18:19 18:53 18:18 18:40 18:30 18:15 18:51
1,192  Tristin Moreno 12 18:31 19:16 18:46 18:12 18:18 18:41 18:29 18:28
1,277  Brendan Bradley 12 18:37 18:12 18:23 18:39 18:34 18:56 18:51
Brian Lenyo 12 19:07 19:03 19:11 19:06
Dillon Blank 10 19:18 18:38 19:12 19:28 19:35 19:19 19:12 19:20 19:23
Mike Everett 12 19:41 20:19 19:48 19:22




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 5.9% 13.0 369 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 7.6 182 0.0 0.5 1.4 4.1 10.3 24.0 35.4 23.2 1.2
Sectionals 100% 3.8 103 3.4 13.8 82.0 0.8



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Saul Garcia 62.9% 85.8 60.6% 62.8%
Andy Powers 41.5% 91.3 37.8% 41.0%
Bill Powers 15.2% 98.5 9.9% 12.7%
Joe Deahl 5.9% 142.5 0.0% 0.0%
Tristin Moreno 5.9% 145.0 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Bradley 5.9% 150.1 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Saul Garcia 100% 25.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.7 2.3 2.4 2.9 3.2 3.8 4.5 4.5 4.7 5.0 4.9 100.0%
Andy Powers 100% 29.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.6 2.9 3.4 4.1 4.5 100.0%
Bill Powers 100% 35.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.8 100.0%
Joe Deahl 100% 63.0 100.0%
Tristin Moreno 100% 64.9 100.0%
Brendan Bradley 100% 68.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Saul Garcia 11.5 0.1 0.7 2.4 3.3 5.3 6.7 7.2 9.4 9.7 10.5 10.5 9.9 7.8 6.3 4.2 2.8 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
Andy Powers 13.4 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.3 3.2 4.2 5.9 7.6 9.4 10.4 11.4 10.5 10.0 7.7 5.6 3.8 2.5 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1
Bill Powers 16.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.6 2.6 3.6 5.1 7.2 9.2 11.6 11.8 11.2 10.0 8.2 5.7 3.7 2.4 1.6 0.9
Joe Deahl 30.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.6 2.2 2.8
Tristin Moreno 31.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.6 2.1
Brendan Bradley 32.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6